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Macro · Survey results

Consumer sentiment slips to 48.1; inflation expectations rise

The University of Michigan’s final September consumer-sentiment index was 48.1, down from 51.7 in August. Year-ahead inflation expectations rose from 4.0% to 4.6%; longer-run expectations edged up to 3.4%.

1 min read · estimatedAI-generated analysis · Methodology

Why it matters

Analysis: weaker confidence and concern about prices can coexist with purchases pulled forward to avoid expected increases. For installment lenders, compare applications and conversion with payment rates, employment and real income before interpreting sales resilience as stronger household capacity.

What remains uncertain

This is a survey of attitudes and expectations, not a measured inflation rate or a default forecast. Product mix and borrower populations differ from the national survey.

Sources